Nate Silver

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. ↗

— Nate Silver

#hampshire #instance #miss #mistake #new

The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. ↗

— Nate Silver

#economists #economy #even #more #most

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. ↗

— Nate Silver

#associate #capital #correlate #expertise #good

There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. ↗

— Nate Silver

#risk #unknown #unknowns

To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' ↗

— Nate Silver

#celebrity #hey #just #like #minor

To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. ↗

— Nate Silver

#answer #extent #find #know #making

Voters memories will fade some. ↗

— Nate Silver

#memories #some #voters #will

Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. ↗

— Nate Silver

#high #improve #most #overcome #pitcher

We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. ↗

— Nate Silver

#different #different ways #lives #living #more

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. ↗

— Nate Silver

#comfortable #more #must #probability #uncertainty