Nate Silver

Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them. ↗

— Nate Silver

#life

If political scientists couldn’t predict the downfall of the Soviet Union—perhaps the most important event in the latter half of the twentieth century—then what exactly were they good for? ↗

— Nate Silver

#science

A lot of things can't be modeled very well. ↗

— Nate Silver

#modeled #things #very #well

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. ↗

— Nate Silver

#cold #everyone #hot #instinct #into

Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. ↗

— Nate Silver

#baseball #game #just #much #poll

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. ↗

— Nate Silver

#before #books #item #luxury #press

Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. ↗

— Nate Silver

#believe #caesar #him #recognized

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. ↗

— Nate Silver

#curve #develop #games #kind #learning

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. ↗

— Nate Silver

#distinguishing #knowledge #noise #requires #scientific

All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. ↗

— Nate Silver

#i #know #more #possibly #stuff